TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 10:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team, the Philippines or Thailand, will win their ASEAN Championship soccer match. On Kalshi, the current probability of the Philippines winning is 52.0%, with Thailand at 38.0%. The result will be resolved based on the match's outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The decisive moment to watch will be the match ending on August 4, 2026, which will determine the final settlement.
The Philippines vs Thailand ASEAN Championship match, scheduled for August 4, 2026, follows identical rules to the preceding examples. Three markets exist for a Philippines win, a Thailand win, or a tie, all resolved exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game ends level at that point, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours of its original date, markets resolve to a fair price per platform policy. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout outcomes from consideration, centering solely on the regulation-time score.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The platform’s pricing mechanism adjusts based on order flow and market depth, with the top outcome’s chance percentage reflecting aggregated trader sentiment. Volume of $1,017,801 and recent activity of $943,678 help indicate liquidity and interest. Traders can influence prices through their bids and offers, making the market a dynamic reflection of collective expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official match outcome, which includes factors such as the final score and any relevant tie-breaking procedures used in professional football. Once confirmed, the market will close and all positions will be settled according to the verified result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and recent form for both teams could shift this market as the match approaches. Weather conditions, referee announcements, and even early pre-match betting trends on Kalshi can influence trader sentiment. Any news affecting team morale or lineup decisions may cause rapid adjustments in odds, so monitoring credible sports news sources and trading volume will be essential for tracking market movement.