TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Philippines vs. Iran
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Philippines vs. Iran

Volume:
$277,370

Philippines

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 9:50 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Philippines

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150,838
N/A
N/A
$91,839
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Philippines (-5.5)

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Philippines vs. Iran

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,224
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Philippines vs. Iran

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$7
$1,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,811
N/A
N/A
$60,981
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game between the Philippines and Iran. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 100.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution based on the official FIBA game result. The decisive catalyst to monitor will be the game itself, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution logic for win conditions, postponement, and cancellation scenariosPrimary resolution logic: Official FIBA game result

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to "Philippines" if Philippines win the game (including overtime)
  • Resolve to "Iran" if Iran win the game (including overtime)
  • Remain open if game is postponed
  • Resolve 50-50 if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if no make-up game is scheduled
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the final whistle of the completed game, or at cancellation/postponement determinationOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Philippines win, the market will resolve to "Philippines". If the Iran win, the market will resolve to "Iran". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Philippines wins the Iran vs Philippines men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iran wins the Iran vs Philippines men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game originally scheduled for Aug 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 30 at 6:00AM ET: If the Philippines win, the market will resolve to "Philippines". If the Iran win, the market will resolve to "Iran". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform’s community may have distinct insights or biases about the match, leading to divergent probability assessments. Additionally, varying levels of volume on each venue influence how sensitive the prices are to new bets. These factors combined often result in different odds being displayed for the same outcome on the two platforms.