TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
This market tracks whether the Philippines national soccer team will defeat Guam in their international friendly match. On Kalshi, the Philippines victory is priced at 91.0%, while a Guam win stands at 6.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the match scheduled for June 3, 2026, following 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for team lineups and injury reports released closer to the June 3, 2026 kickoff to assess any shifts in competitive balance.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect a different participant base and incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. For Philippines vs Guam, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal where the two venues disagree on outcome likelihood. These gaps sometimes signal value or highlight information asymmetries between casual bettors and prediction market traders.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Philippines vs Guam is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each outcome. The current market price reflects the marginal trader's valuation and updates in real time as new orders execute. Kalshi's regulatory structure and participant base shape how this event is priced relative to other venues. Monitoring the bid-ask spread and order depth on Kalshi gives you insight into liquidity and conviction around the Philippines vs Guam outcome.
The Philippines vs Guam market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by the relevant sports authority. Until that date, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations. The market will close and settle once the final outcome is confirmed, paying out holders of the winning outcome and expiring worthless for losing positions.
Key catalysts for Philippines vs Guam include team roster announcements, injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, and any official statements from coaches or federations. Weather conditions on match day, venue changes, or late lineup adjustments can also shift market sentiment. Public polling or expert analysis may influence casual traders, while sharp traders monitor training footage and tactical previews. As the match date approaches, final team confirmations and pre-game momentum typically drive the largest price moves on Kalshi.