TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 9:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Bettors predict how many runs Washington and Philadelphia will each score individually in their June 23 matchup. These markets allow wagering on specific run thresholds for each team's offensive output during the full game.
This event encompasses individual team run totals for both Washington and Philadelphia in the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. Washington's run total markets resolve to Yes if the team scores at or above specified thresholds (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs), while Philadelphia's run total markets resolve to Yes if the team scores at or above their respective thresholds (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Each market is independent and based solely on the final run total for the specified team across all nine innings of regulation play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely outcome, making prediction markets a useful signal for identifying mispriced expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time, and the spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on liquidity and conviction. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, injury reports, or other factors that could affect the final team totals.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, after the Philadelphia vs Washington game concludes. The outcome is determined by the combined final score of both teams, verified against credible public sources once the event is complete. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution is straightforward and objective, tied directly to the official game result reported by the league and major sports media.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions on game day, and recent team performance trends. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede shifts in this market, as sharp bettors react to new information first. Coaching decisions, player trades, or unexpected roster updates can also swing implied probabilities. As the game approaches, real-time developments like warm-up reports or last-minute roster confirmations may trigger sharp repricing. Monitoring sports news and team social media in the hours before kickoff can help you anticipate market moves.