TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Philadelphia and Washington. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the contest.
The event consists of four markets, each tied to the Philadelphia vs Washington NHL game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the specified team wins by a designated goal margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the game's outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate assessment than initial sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The current price indicates the market's assessment of whether Philadelphia will cover the spread against Washington, and the volume traded shows the level of conviction behind those beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Philadelphia versus Washington game, specifically whether Philadelphia covered the spread as defined by standard sports betting rules. The final score and spread will be verified against trusted sports news sources to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's conditions. News regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected public statements from players or coaches, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also cause movement in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions about their positions.