TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Philadelphia vs Washington
kalshi
predict

Who will win Philadelphia vs Washington?

Volume:
$3,248,769

Philadelphia

 - Kalshi

Philadelphia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 9:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,409,755
N/A
N/A
$989,551
Settled
Yes
predict

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$8,692
$19,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,819,760
N/A
N/A
$1,272,956
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals. Currently, the consensus probability favors a Philadelphia Phillies victory at 94.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on the official final statistics of the game as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on September 16th at 6:45PM ET, as the result of that game will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market appears to be for a game scheduled in 2026, while Predict is for a game scheduled in 2024, creating a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi until the date is corrected or consider this a separate event. Focus on the Predict market for the intended September 16, 2024 game.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves to the winner of the game on September 16, 2024, with a 50-50 split for ties or cancellations. "This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game."
  • kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Philadelphia or Washington wins the game originally scheduled for September 16, 2026. "If Washington wins the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game scheduled for September 16, 2026, at 6:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for both teams are separate, each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Philadelphia vs Washington matchup from multiple platforms, including Kalshi and Predict. It displays a consensus view of who is favored to win, based on the combined volume of $3,248,769 traded across both venues. Currently, the market shows a dynamic interplay between the two platforms, with traders expressing their beliefs through their buy and sell orders. The dashboard helps visualize the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides insights into the potential outcome of this sporting event. The 24-hour trading volume is $2,852,345.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective judgment of informed traders. This market benefits from a diverse range of participants, potentially incorporating unique insights not captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take either side of a bet, creating a more fluid and potentially more accurate price discovery process. The current implied probability on this market may vary from traditional betting lines.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in momentum could also influence the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Kalshi or Predict—perhaps driven by a large institutional trader—could create noticeable price movements. As the event draws closer, any updates regarding team lineups or pre-game analysis will likely have an increasing effect on this market.