TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals. Currently, the consensus probability favors a Philadelphia Phillies victory at 94.0%. This aggregate view combines data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on the official final statistics of the game as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on September 16th at 6:45PM ET, as the result of that game will determine the market’s outcome.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game scheduled for September 16, 2026, at 6:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets for both teams are separate, each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective judgment of informed traders. This market benefits from a diverse range of participants, potentially incorporating unique insights not captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take either side of a bet, creating a more fluid and potentially more accurate price discovery process. The current implied probability on this market may vary from traditional betting lines.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major media coverage or expert analysis predicting a change in momentum could also influence the odds. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Kalshi or Predict—perhaps driven by a large institutional trader—could create noticeable price movements. As the event draws closer, any updates regarding team lineups or pre-game analysis will likely have an increasing effect on this market.