TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Philadelphia vs Washington
kalshi
predict

Philadelphia vs Washington

Volume:
$4,591,596

Philadelphia

 - Kalshi

Philadelphia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 9:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,602,180
N/A
N/A
$786,837
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,953,812
N/A
N/A
$1,134,540
Settled
No
predict

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3,888
$35,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Philadelphia Phillies versus Washington Nationals Major League Baseball game scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET. Across Kalshi and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows Philadelphia at 93.0% to win. The market resolves based on the official result of the game as played on the scheduled date. Watch for any postponements or schedule changes that could affect the June 23 game window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Philadelphia win and Washington win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes at settlement.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is unresolvable. Verify with Kalshi that the market structure has been corrected to map Philadelphia win to Yes and Washington win to No (or equivalent binary structure). Trade only on Predict platform, which has coherent binary logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Philadelphia wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Washington wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical impossibility that prevents settlement discrimination.
  • Predict: Standard binary outcome: resolves to 'Philadelphia Phillies' if Philadelphia wins, 'Washington Nationals' if Washington wins. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market remains open), cancellation/tie (50-50 split), and defines official MLB statistics as primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Philadelphia vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for June 23 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here often diverge from traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate decentralized trader bets rather than relying on oddsmakers' models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability and manage sharp action, while prediction platforms reflect pure supply and demand from thousands of independent participants. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow, liquidity depth, and whether sophisticated traders have identified mispricing. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand where consensus truly lies.

Kalshi and Predict operate under different market mechanics, fee structures, and user bases, which naturally creates pricing gaps. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's liquidity, order-flow timing, and settlement rules can shift odds independently. Traders exploit these spreads by arbitraging between venues, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent perfect alignment. Monitoring both prices reveals where conviction is strongest and helps you identify the most efficient entry point for your view.

Key injury announcements, roster changes, and lineup confirmations typically trigger sharp moves in this market. Weather conditions, travel delays, and last-minute coaching decisions can also shift trader sentiment significantly. Major news about either team's recent form or head-to-head history may prompt repricing as new information reaches the market. Monitor team social media, beat reporters, and official league communications for catalysts that could swing odds before the final whistle.