TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve particular rushing yard milestones. It allows participants to speculate on individual player outputs rather than the overall game result, reflecting expectations about player involvement and effectiveness.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing yards accumulated by the specified player during the Philadelphia vs Tennessee professional football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the named player is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing yards recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 25+, 30+, up to 110+ yards), and resolution is binary: the market settles to 'Yes' if the player meets or exceeds the specified yardage threshold, and 'No' otherwise. The operator explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi, tends to reflect more purely the probability of an outcome as perceived by participants. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders react to it. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or risk assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they are willing to buy a 'yes' contract) and asks (the price they are willing to sell a 'yes' contract). When a bid and ask match, a trade occurs. The price of the contracts reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of the total rushing yards falling within the specified range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices range from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% probability of the event occurring, and are constantly updated based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Philadelphia versus Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual total rushing yards fall within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 minus the price they paid for the contract.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Philadelphia or Tennessee teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also shift expectations about rushing yardage totals. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could influence how traders assess the potential for a run-heavy or pass-heavy game. Even general shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.