TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming professional football game. It reflects the competitive momentum and scoring dynamics between the two teams throughout the match. The outcome depends purely on the game's point progression, without considering final scores or other factors.
The market resolves based on which team first scores 28 points in the Philadelphia vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, including any overtime periods. If neither team reaches 28 points, the 'Neither Team' outcome wins. Postponements are handled by allowing the market to remain open if the game starts within 48 hours of the original time; otherwise, it resolves to a fair price. All outcomes are determined by the official final game result, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, you might see a different probability distribution here, especially if there's strong disagreement among traders. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or changing circumstances surrounding the teams.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you insight into the potential cost of entering or exiting a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—Philadelphia or Tennessee—first reaches 28 points during the game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to verify the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the projected weather conditions for the game could also impact the odds, as weather can affect scoring. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, could lead to changes in the prices observed in this market.