TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players from both teams achieve a reception longer than a set yardage threshold during the game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently against their individual benchmarks.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets to determine if any participant records a reception exceeding their specified yardage threshold during the Philadelphia vs Tennessee game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different player and a unique yardage requirement. If the named player records a reception longer than the stated threshold, that specific market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if a player is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolution depends solely on whether the player's longest reception met or exceeded the threshold. These provisions apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistent evaluation for each participant's performance metrics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many participants. Discrepancies can arise due to differing perceptions of player form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds, as the continuous trading process quickly incorporates new insights. Examining these differences can provide valuable perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which player will have the longest reception. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a particular player is likely to have the longest reception, the price of their contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of probabilities. The current prices indicate the market's expectation for each player's performance.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for determining the longest reception. Any ties will be handled according to the platform's rules, which are available for review. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the market's resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also impact passing strategies and affect which players are targeted. Any announcements about changes in coaching strategies or player matchups could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news regarding player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial price fluctuations as traders react to the new information.