TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific quarterbacks will exceed various passing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different yardage benchmark that must be surpassed by the named player to settle as 'Yes'. The outcomes are determined purely by performance metrics, without any influence from external factors or market speculation.
All markets resolve based on whether the named quarterback records the specified passing yard threshold or higher in the Philadelphia vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly according to the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the yardage threshold specified.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move to reflect that collective opinion. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts at different price points. The price of a contract represents the probability of the corresponding passing yard total being accurate after the game. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more buyers there are for a particular outcome, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage statistics from the Philadelphia vs Tennessee game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yard total, as reported by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual passing yardage will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for different totals will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected passing yardage. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and affect the price. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to fluctuations in this market.