TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions in a professional football game between Philadelphia and Tennessee. It focuses on specific player performance metrics to determine outcomes based on the number of interceptions each player records during the match.
The event resolves based on the number of passing interceptions recorded by designated quarterbacks Cam Ward and Jalen Hurts in the Philadelphia vs Tennessee Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each quarterback. If either quarterback is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing interceptions recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, with resolution contingent solely on the specified interception thresholds for each named player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the prices in this market may converge with, or diverge from, sportsbook odds depending on how traders interpret the new data. It is common to see discrepancies as traders incorporate unique insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different interception totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic price discovery process. This means the price will change as new information surfaces and as traders react to each other's activity, providing a real-time assessment of the likely number of passing interceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the Philadelphia versus Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, as reported by a trusted source for NFL data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of interceptions will receive a payout, while those holding contracts representing incorrect totals will not. The market’s final price will reflect the collective prediction of all traders.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – such as injuries or changes in playing status – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be rainy or windy, could also impact passing frequency and therefore the number of interceptions. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff, or even in-game performance during the first half, could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and movement in this market’s price.