TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified participants achieve certain fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) of the Philadelphia vs Tennessee match scheduled for September 20, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper's default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing/rushing/receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, kicks, defensive plays, and special teams contributions. Each market has a specific threshold; if the player's or team's total exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Players not participating or未被分配幻想积分值将被视为得分0分。Sleeper在到期日发布的幻想积分总和将被使用,没有额外的四舍五入,并且到期日后的更正不被考虑。所有市场均使用相同的计分格式,包括传球、冲刺、接球、踢球、防守和特殊队伍的得分规则。
Generally, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in accuracy, though discrepancies can occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential fantasy point totals. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that particular outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a specific fantasy point total is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that total will climb. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and reflect the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total fantasy points scored by players from both the Philadelphia Eagles and the Tennessee Titans will be tallied based on standard fantasy football scoring rules. These scores will be sourced from official NFL data and verified against credible public sources. The market will settle to the total fantasy points achieved, and traders holding contracts corresponding to that outcome will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Eagles and Titans are significant catalysts, as they directly impact projected fantasy point totals. Unexpected changes in player roles or offensive schemes could also shift expectations. News regarding weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, can influence scoring potential. Finally, any late-breaking news related to player availability or game strategy could create volatility in this market as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.