Will both teams score in the 4th quarter?

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. Often, prediction markets are seen as a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ approach, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, which may not be fully reflected in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the event occurring – in this case, both teams scoring in the fourth quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that probability; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information or changes in sentiment. The current price represents the cost to enter a position predicting that both teams will score.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Philadelphia and Tennessee teams score at least one point during the fourth quarter of their game. Official scoring records from the NFL will be used to determine the final result. Traders holding a ‘Yes’ contract will receive a payout if both teams score, while those holding a ‘No’ contract will receive a payout if at least one team fails to score during the fourth quarter.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather conditions that could affect scoring. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Game-day performance in the first three quarters, particularly any trends in offensive efficiency, will likely have a strong impact. Unexpected in-game events, such as turnovers or special teams plays, could also cause rapid price movements in this market.