TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Philadelphia or Tennessee during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether Philadelphia or Tennessee wins the second quarter of their Pro Football game by exceeding specified point differentials. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team to win the quarter. The resolution depends solely on points scored during the second quarter of play, with no consideration given to the overall game result or any other quarter's performance. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately against the actual second-quarter score difference.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by individual traders’ beliefs, can sometimes offer a more accurate forecast, especially as new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information and incentives between the two types of markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders are incentivized to express their true beliefs, as profitable trades are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined by supply and demand; if more traders believe the Eagles will cover a specific spread, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards the Titans, prices will fall.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second quarter spread of the Philadelphia Eagles versus Tennessee Titans game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the actual point difference at the end of the second quarter, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will then determine which contracts correspond to the correct spread and settle those contracts accordingly. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout based on the contract’s value at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Eagles or the Titans would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news regarding player availability, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.