TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which Philadelphia player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Tennessee. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defense, with outcomes determined by the game's early scoring events.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified Philadelphia player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes a snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown, even if the play is nullified by a penalty. If Philadelphia fails to score any touchdowns, the 'No Philadelphia Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific and defensive unit markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the opinions of many informed traders. Sportsbooks often adjust lines to balance betting action and account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by what participants believe will happen. While there can be initial discrepancies, prediction markets often converge on probabilities that are closer to the actual outcome. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. This can offer a different perspective on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time. The current price reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding who will score the first touchdown.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the Philadelphia versus Tennessee game, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures, focusing on establishing a clear and verifiable record of the first touchdown scorer. The result will be clearly displayed on the market page once confirmed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the Philadelphia offense, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts could also influence the market, as inclement weather might favor a running game over a passing game, potentially altering which players are favored to score. Pre-game analysis from experts, updated player statistics, and even social media sentiment can all contribute to price movements. Unexpected lineup changes or strategic adjustments announced by the coaches could also lead to substantial shifts in the probabilities reflected in this market.