TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first half leader and the final game winner (or tie) to match predefined conditions for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the combined outcome of the first half and the full game result, including any overtime periods. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the full game result must match exactly. If either condition is not met, the market resolves as 'No.' Postponements that occur within 48 hours of the original start time allow markets to remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, markets will resolve to a fair price. All outcomes are determined by the official results reported by the governing league.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. It's common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or changes in public perception, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes the value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the prices may become as traders react to late-breaking news and refine their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Philadelphia vs Tennessee game, specifically the 1st Half / Fulltime Result. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed of any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also drive price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on a particular outcome – could indicate informed traders are taking a strong position, potentially influencing the market's direction. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves.