TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Philadelphia and St. Louis scheduled for August 12, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that Philadelphia will win is 94.0%, with St. Louis at 7.0%. The resolution source is the game's result as officially recorded. Watch for the game on August 12, 2026, as this is the date that will determine the market outcome.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Philadelphia and St. Louis originally scheduled for August 12, 2026, at 2:15 PM EDT. If Philadelphia wins, the Philadelphia market resolves to Yes, and the St. Louis market resolves to No. Conversely, if St. Louis wins, the St. Louis market resolves to Yes, and the Philadelphia market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but rescheduled to occur within two days of the original date, both markets will remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, both markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that participants are compensated equitably based on the circumstances surrounding the change. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and real-time data inputs. In this market, the probability reflects crowd-sourced forecasts rather than set betting lines. Traders may react faster to new information, causing shifts that sportsbooks might not adjust as quickly. Comparing the two can reveal gaps in perception, with this market sometimes showing sharper movements around key events or announcements.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game result, including any relevant tiebreaker rules if applied. No further interpretation is needed beyond widely accepted sources, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process for all participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury reports for star players, changes in coaching strategy, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and broader team performance trends leading up to Aug 12, 2026. Any unexpected developments—such as lineup changes or motivational factors—may also cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities. Monitoring pre-game analysis and media coverage can help anticipate these moves.