TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether Philadelphia or Santos Laguna achieves a decisive victory, focusing on the margin of win for each team during the same regulated timeframe of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, again excluding extra time or penalties.
These markets evaluate whether Philadelphia or Santos Laguna wins the match by a margin exceeding specified goal differences (1.5 or 2.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the stated condition is met — Philadelphia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Philadelphia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Santos Laguna winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Santos Laguna winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the condition is not satisfied, the market resolves to 'No.' The result is based exclusively on the official match outcome recognized by the governing league.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader participation. While sportsbooks set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs and can shift more rapidly with new information. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on trader sentiment and volume.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match score, which will settle the spread and close trading on Kalshi.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 14, 2026. Key team news—such as injuries, coaching changes, or lineup announcements—will affect trader sentiment about the likely spread. Venue conditions, like weather or pitch state, may also influence performance expectations. As the match nears, updated polling or expert analysis can cause rapid price swings. Any last-minute developments that change the perceived competitive balance will be reflected in real time on Kalshi.