TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
New York wins by over 23.5 points
- Kalshi
New York wins by over 23.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 21, 2026
Time left: 04d:04h:17m
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This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming professional basketball game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. The markets cover a range of possible score differences, reflecting different levels of confidence in the expected result.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Philadelphia vs New York Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 20, 2026. If New York wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "New York wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Philadelphia wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "Philadelphia wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For markets where the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, resolution remains based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these specific conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what's immediately available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that are more accurate or move faster in response to new information. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new developments arise closer to the event. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the actual difference in scores between Philadelphia and New York at the conclusion of the game. All winning contracts will be paid out according to the rules of Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Philadelphia or New York would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategies, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or changes in public perception of their relative strengths, could also move the market. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of different point spreads has the potential to drive trading activity and change the price of contracts.