TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the goal differential between Philadelphia and New York RB during their MLS soccer match on July 22, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether one team will win by a margin exceeding various thresholds.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential in the Philadelphia vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Markets resolve Yes if Philadelphia wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if New York RB wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. Each spread threshold operates independently, allowing bettors to take positions on different victory margin scenarios for either team.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may lead or lag traditional sportsbook spreads depending on information flow and trader conviction. Many analysts monitor both venues to spot discrepancies, though prediction markets have historically proven competitive in accuracy for sports events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders, with bid-ask spreads tightening as volume increases. Traders can enter limit or market orders to express their view on the spread, and prices update in real time as new trades execute. This transparent, decentralized pricing model allows participants to discover fair value through direct competition.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the game concludes and the final spread is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score and the point differential between the two teams. No further adjustments or disputes typically arise after the game ends, making resolution straightforward and binding for all traders. Early closure or extension is rare unless the event is postponed or cancelled.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, and weather conditions can shift trader sentiment significantly. Betting market movement at major sportsbooks often influences prediction market prices as professional bettors and sharp money flow in. Public statements from coaches, recent team performance, and head-to-head matchup history also drive repricing. As game day approaches, late-breaking news and final injury reports tend to create volatility. Real-time game developments—if the market remains open during play—can trigger sharp moves as traders react to live action.