TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York RB will win the Philadelphia vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game scheduled for July 22, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability that New York RB will win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time stands at 98.0%, with Philadelphia at 2.0%. The market resolves based on official MLS match results, and the result will be confirmed by July 23, 2026, following the match's conclusion.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Philadelphia vs New York RB professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The event encompasses three mutually exclusive outcomes: Philadelphia victory, New York RB victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market allows you to compare how professional bettors and casual traders on Kalshi price the running back matchup relative to what traditional sportsbooks are offering. Prediction markets can sometimes identify value that sportsbooks miss, especially in niche matchups where fewer bettors are active.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, with each cent representing a 1 percent probability. As traders place bids and offers, the market price adjusts in real time to reflect the latest consensus. You can enter limit or market orders to take positions, and your profit or loss is determined by the difference between your entry price and the final settlement price once the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the actual performance and statistics recorded during the Philadelphia versus New York game. Once the game concludes and official statistics are published, the market will settle based on which running back meets the specified criteria. Traders holding winning positions will receive their payout automatically, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several catalysts can shift odds significantly before Jul 23, 2026. Injury announcements or status updates for either running back will trigger sharp moves, as will depth chart changes or coaching decisions about offensive usage. Game-week weather forecasts, opponent defensive rankings, and recent performance trends also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about trades, suspensions, or unexpected lineup changes can create volatility. Additionally, if either team clinches or is eliminated from playoff contention, that context may alter how aggressively each back is deployed, prompting repricing across this market.