TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
The Philadelphia vs New York M baseball game scheduled for September 19, 2026, will proceed through its nine scheduled innings. If the score remains tied after these nine innings, the game will continue into additional periods called extra innings, extending play until a winner is determined.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Philadelphia vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market prices and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the market perceives information that sportsbooks haven’t fully accounted for, or vice versa. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist due to varying risk appetites and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Philadelphia versus New York baseball game, including any extra innings played, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authorities. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and any relevant details that determine the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in pitching rotations, or weather forecasts impacting game conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance by either team in preceding games, or even broader shifts in public perception, can also play a role. Major announcements related to team strategy or player availability will likely cause volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations before Sep 19, 2026.