TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Philadelphia or New England specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Philadelphia and New England exclusively during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold that the winning team must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If New England wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. Similarly, if Philadelphia wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin—also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the relevant market resolves to 'Yes'. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The markets are not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers agree on the probability of each outcome. The current top outcome reflects the highest bid or lowest ask, adjusted for liquidity and trader interest. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid shifts in odds as new information emerges during the game, capturing the collective wisdom of participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will determine the point differential for the third quarter, and this will be used to settle all contracts. Timing aligns with the conclusion of the game and subsequent data publication, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process.
Injuries, weather conditions, and key plays during the game could shift expectations for the third-quarter performance and move this market. Star player performance, coaching strategies, and momentum swings all influence trader sentiment. As the quarter progresses, real-time scoring and possession changes will most directly impact odds, reflecting the evolving probability of hitting the spread target by participants on Kalshi.