TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 7:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the first quarter of a football game between Philadelphia and New England. It captures the early momentum by determining the highest-scoring team in the initial 15 minutes of play. If both teams are tied, a separate outcome reflects that scenario.
If New England wins the 1st Quarter of the Philadelphia vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Philadelphia wins the 1st Quarter of the Philadelphia vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the Philadelphia vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors like historical performance, prediction markets can shift rapidly based on new information or betting patterns. This allows for potentially sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent events.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic market price that reflects their collective belief about which team will win the first quarter. The top outcome’s chance is represented by a percentage that updates with each trade, showing how the market currently values each team’s prospects.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the score at the end of the first quarter of play, and the result is finalized when official game records are published and widely reported.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting early-game strategy, and coaching decisions that influence the first-quarter pace can all shift this market. Additionally, any significant lineups changes or pre-game analysis that suggests one team may start stronger could cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to new information before kickoff.