TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Philadelphia and Montreal, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Different thresholds for victory margins determine various possible outcomes.
The event evaluates the goal differential in the Philadelphia vs Montreal MLS match scheduled for September 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Four distinct outcomes are possible based on the margin of victory: Philadelphia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Philadelphia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Montreal winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Montreal winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome is independently verifiable through official match records. The resolving entity is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge due to different participant dynamics and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in nuances not captured by sportsbooks, such as deeper analysis or real-time data shifts. The resulting probabilities can therefore appear more volatile or distinct compared to standard betting odds. This difference provides a unique perspective on the Philadelphia vs Montreal spread, highlighting where crowd-sourced forecasts diverge from institutional sportsbook assessments.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants set bids and asks based on their expectations for the spread between Philadelphia and Montreal. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of Kalshi traders, with volume of $69,517 indicating overall interest and liquidity in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine whether Philadelphia covers the spread or Montreal keeps it within the set margin, closing the market based on official match results.
Several key signals could shift this market before Sep 6, 2026. Strong recent performances by either team, key player injuries, or changes in coaching strategy may sway trader sentiment. Additionally, broader factors like home-field advantage or recent head-to-head results might influence odds. Media narratives and expert analyses leading up to the match can also create momentum swings. As the event approaches, any last-minute roster updates or weather conditions could further impact this market, making it responsive to both on-field developments and off-field commentary.