TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 5:19 PM EST
Kalshi
The event refers to a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It focuses on whether the game will extend beyond the regular innings due to a tie score at the end of the ninth inning. The outcome depends solely on whether the game requires additional innings to determine a winner.
If Philadelphia and Minnesota go to extra innings in the Philadelphia vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 2:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, odds for the Extra Innings market often reflect broader public betting trends and can include adjustments for house edges. Prediction markets, however, are driven purely by trader sentiment and real-time information flow. This creates subtle differences in implied probabilities, as prediction markets adjust faster to new data and lack a fixed overround. For this market, traders may react more sharply to pitching changes or weather updates, potentially creating divergence from traditional sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective view of whether the game will extend beyond regulation. The current probability indicates the share of traders betting on extra innings versus those expecting a nine-inning finish. Volume of $1,136 shows overall interest, while 24-hour volume of $752 captures recent trading activity as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game lasts longer than the standard regulation time, and the platform will finalize the market based on official game records.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to the starting lineup could all influence this market as they affect the expected pace and length of the game. Additionally, any significant shifts in team performance leading up to the match may cause traders to adjust their positions, impacting the market’s odds in the days before resolution.