TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run production in the Philadelphia vs Milwaukee game on June 13, 2026. Bettors predict whether Milwaukee or Philadelphia will each score above various run thresholds independently during the game.
Resolution is based on the individual final run totals for Milwaukee and Philadelphia in the game originally scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Milwaukee's scoring is evaluated against thresholds of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 runs, while Philadelphia's scoring is evaluated against the same thresholds. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective team's final run total meets or exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Milwaukee over 1.5 resolves Yes if Milwaukee scores 2 or more runs). The official final score as recorded by Major League Baseball determines the outcome for each team independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects real-time consensus among participants willing to stake capital on their forecasts, whereas sportsbooks may adjust lines based on liability and volume flow. Both sources offer valuable signals, but prediction markets typically reward accuracy over time, creating incentives for informed pricing that can differ meaningfully from traditional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the collective willingness of participants to commit capital at specific levels, with each trade updating the implied probability in real time. The continuous auction format ensures that new information—such as roster updates or pre-game analysis—is rapidly incorporated into the odds. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster around fair value.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point totals for each team will be established at the conclusion of the game, and this market will settle based on whether the combined or individual team score meets the specified threshold. Resolution occurs after official scorekeeping is complete and any scoring adjustments have been finalized by the league.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before it closes. Injury announcements or roster changes for either team will likely trigger sharp repricing, as will updated player availability reports. Pre-game commentary from analysts and coaches, recent team performance trends, and pace-of-play adjustments can all influence trader expectations. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks sometimes precedes prediction market shifts, as does breaking news about game conditions or coaching strategy. Close monitoring of official team communications and sports media will help traders anticipate significant moves.