TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on individual team run production in the Philadelphia vs Milwaukee game on June 12, 2026. Bettors can predict whether Milwaukee or Philadelphia will each score above various run thresholds independently.
The Philadelphia vs Milwaukee game scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT will be evaluated for individual team run production across multiple thresholds. Milwaukee outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Philadelphia outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at or above the specified threshold (2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 runs). Each team's performance is evaluated independently based on the final official score at the end of nine innings.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders are pricing the event differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for contracts tied to the team total outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, with the midpoint of the spread reflecting the consensus probability. As new information surfaces—injuries, lineup changes, or betting trends—traders adjust their orders, causing the price to move. This dynamic pricing ensures the market continuously incorporates available signals.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the game concludes and the final score is verified. The outcome is determined by the actual combined points scored by both teams during regulation play. Resolution occurs after credible public sources confirm the final result, allowing the platform to settle all positions. Traders should monitor official league reporting to anticipate the timing of resolution.
Key catalysts include player injuries or roster changes announced before tipoff, which directly affect scoring potential. Team form, recent offensive and defensive trends, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader expectations. Pregame betting action and sharp money flowing into sportsbooks can signal where informed bettors see value. Weather conditions, venue factors, and coaching adjustments revealed at game time may trigger late-market repricing as traders adjust their positions in response to new information.