TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Philadelphia and Miami. On Kalshi, the current probability for Philadelphia to win stands at 54.0%, with Miami at 46.0%. The resolution source is the game's result as played, accounting for any official schedule adjustments. Watch for developments around the scheduled game date of July 29, 2026, as this will be the key catalyst for market resolution.
The market determines the winner of the professional baseball game between Philadelphia and Miami originally scheduled for July 29, 2026, at 12:10 PM EDT. If Philadelphia wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and if Miami wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed but played within two days of the original date, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different probability distribution because they are set by traders investing real money. While sportsbooks may incorporate their own margins and adjustments, the prediction market price is driven purely by buyer-seller activity and can shift rapidly with new information or betting patterns.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, and the market will close accordingly, settling all positions based on that final result.