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Philadelphia vs Kansas City: Total Bases
kalshi

What will be the total bases in Philadelphia vs Kansas City?

Volume:
$11,054

Kyle Schwarber: 2+

 - Kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,123
N/A
N/A
$2,534
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lane Thomas: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
$267
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
$267
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyler Tolbert: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 4+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 4+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 5+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 4+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 5+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bryce Harper: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,071
N/A
N/A
$1,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Bobby Witt Jr.: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,048
N/A
N/A
$1,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Trea Turner: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
$959
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 6+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
$611
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$583
N/A
N/A
$581
Settled
No
kalshi

Carter Jensen: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$283
N/A
N/A
$283
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

Trea Turner: 6+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
kalshi

Jac Caglianone: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

Carter Jensen: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$114
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 72

Description

This event tracks the total bases accumulated by individual players during the Philadelphia vs Kansas City baseball game on July 4, 2026. Total bases are calculated by counting singles as one base, doubles as two bases, triples as three bases, and home runs as four bases.

Kalshi

Settlement is based on player participation status and plate appearance activity. Players must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to settle on actual performance. If a player is scratched or not in the starting lineup, the market resolves to fair market price. Players who enter the game as pinch hitters do not count toward settlement. If a starting player does not record a plate appearance, the market also resolves to fair market price. Once these participation criteria are met, settlement is determined by the total bases recorded during the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Phillies-Royals total bases market displays real-time odds and price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to the combined bases outcome. You can monitor current pricing, historical price trends, and 24-hour trading volume to understand market sentiment around how many total bases both teams will accumulate during the matchup. This live data helps you assess whether the market is pricing the event efficiently and identify shifts in trader conviction as game time approaches.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and financial risk. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and retail traders agree on the likely total bases outcome, or whether one venue sees edge that the other has missed.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing different total bases outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, creating a real-time probability estimate. As new information emerges—lineup changes, injury reports, or betting action—traders adjust their positions, moving prices to reflect updated expectations about the final combined bases total.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Philadelphia-Kansas City game concludes and the final statistics are available. The outcome is determined by the total number of bases earned by both teams combined during the contest, verified against credible public sources. Resolution occurs after the official box score is finalized and confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for either team's lineup. Weather conditions at game time—wind speed and direction—can significantly affect ball carry and total bases. Betting action from sharp money or sudden shifts in public perception can also drive price movement. Real-time game developments, such as early scoring or momentum swings, will likely trigger repricing as traders adjust their expectations for the final combined bases total.