TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Philadelphia vs Kansas City: RBIs
kalshi

Who will have more RBIs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City?

Volume:
$5,751

Alec Bohm: 1+

 - Kalshi

Alec Bohm: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 10:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 2+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nick Loftin: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bobby Witt Jr.: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,438
N/A
N/A
$1,438
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,374
N/A
N/A
$1,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,326
Settled
No
kalshi

Bobby Witt Jr.: 3+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
$1,184
Settled
No
kalshi

Jac Caglianone: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Harper: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

Trea Turner: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
$88
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Marsh: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson Stott: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Marsh: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

Carter Jensen: 1+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Loftin: 2+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Harper: 2+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Harper: 3+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 2+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 3+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Trea Turner: 2+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 2+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson Stott: 2+

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event tracks runs batted in (RBIs) by individual players during the Philadelphia vs Kansas City baseball game on July 4, 2026. An RBI is credited when a batter's action results in a run scoring.

Kalshi

Settlement is based on player participation status and plate appearance activity. Players must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to settle on actual performance. If a player is scratched or not in the starting lineup, the market resolves to fair market price. Players who enter the game as pinch hitters do not count toward settlement. If a starting player does not record a plate appearance, the market also resolves to fair market price. Once these participation criteria are met, settlement is determined by the RBIs recorded during the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Philadelphia vs Kansas City RBIs market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for this prediction market. The interface displays current trading activity, historical price charts, and 24-hour volume metrics to help traders monitor sentiment around the combined RBI output in this matchup. You can view how odds shift as game time approaches and observe which outcome is commanding trader interest. The dashboard provides the data needed to understand market positioning before the event concludes.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree on RBI outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different RBI outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective confidence of active traders, with shares ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As traders place bids and offers, the market price adjusts continuously, allowing new information and shifting sentiment to be reflected in real time. This dynamic pricing ensures the odds stay responsive throughout the trading window.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Philadelphia vs Kansas City game concludes and final statistics are available. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources to confirm the combined RBI total. Resolution depends on the official box score and league records, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Once verified, the market will settle and payouts will be distributed according to the winning outcome.

Several factors could shift odds in this market before it resolves. Roster changes, injury announcements, or lineup adjustments for either team may alter expectations around offensive production. Weather conditions at game time, bullpen availability, and recent offensive trends can all influence RBI projections. Breaking news about player availability or strategic changes could prompt traders to reassess their positions. As game time approaches and more information becomes public, expect increased trading activity and price volatility.