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Philadelphia vs Kansas City: Home Runs
kalshi

How many home runs will be hit in Philadelphia vs Kansas City?

Volume:
$167,922

J.T. Realmuto: 1+

 - Kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 4, 10:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,680
N/A
N/A
$1,303
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alec Bohm: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,352
N/A
N/A
$1,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gabriel Rincones: 1+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,210
N/A
N/A
$1,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,907
N/A
N/A
$69,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Harper: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,227
N/A
N/A
$30,628
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,193
N/A
N/A
$22,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Marsh: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,750
N/A
N/A
$6,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,465
N/A
N/A
$5,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Lane Thomas: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,782
N/A
N/A
$4,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Jac Caglianone: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,633
N/A
N/A
$3,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Nick Loftin: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,304
N/A
N/A
$3,304
Settled
No
kalshi

Trea Turner: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,998
N/A
N/A
$2,993
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Schwarber: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,574
N/A
N/A
$1,561
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Harper: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
$1,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Carter Jensen: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,118
N/A
N/A
$1,113
Settled
No
kalshi

Lane Thomas: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryson Stott: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
$766
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Crawford: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$480
N/A
N/A
$476
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Marsh: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
kalshi

Trea Turner: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
$266
Settled
No
kalshi

Starling Marte: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224
N/A
N/A
$224
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Tolbert: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Massey: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129
N/A
N/A
$129
Settled
No
kalshi

J.T. Realmuto: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
$47
Settled
No
kalshi

Isaac Collins: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
$18
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Description

This event tracks home runs hit by individual players during the Philadelphia vs Kansas City baseball game on July 4, 2026. A home run is credited when a batter hits the ball over the outfield fence or otherwise scores on a single hit.

Kalshi

If Bobby Witt Jr. records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bobby Witt Jr. records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryce Harper records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryce Harper records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Schwarber records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Schwarber records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Schwarber records 3+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trea Turner records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trea Turner records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 4, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the home run over/under market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for total home runs hit during the Philadelphia versus Kansas City matchup. The interface displays current bid-ask spreads, 24-hour trading volume, and historical price movements to help traders monitor sentiment shifts. This market lets you trade predictions on whether the combined home run total will exceed or fall short of a specified threshold, with all activity reflected live as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and risk models. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while this market is driven by trader consensus on the actual probability of the outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value relative to traditional betting lines, though sportsbook odds may move faster during live events due to higher liquidity and professional market-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the bid-ask spread and clearing price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move as new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or weather updates—and traders adjust their positions accordingly. The continuous pricing model ensures that odds reflect the latest consensus on total home runs, with transparency across all posted orders.

This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Philadelphia versus Kansas City game concludes and the final home run total is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official box score. Traders holding positions at resolution will be settled based on whether the actual combined home run count falls on the over or under side of the specified threshold.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury updates to star hitters, weather forecasts affecting ball carry distance, and starting pitcher confirmations. Trading volume and sentiment often spike following roster changes or weather alerts that favor or deter home runs. Late-breaking news—such as a player's return from injury or a stadium-specific factor—can shift odds sharply as traders reassess the probability of exceeding the threshold before the first pitch.