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399,592
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Closed: Sep 28, 11:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether Case Keenum will achieve 175 or more passing yards in the Philadelphia versus Chicago NFL game. Currently, the probability of Case Keenum exceeding 175 passing yards is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on Jalen Hurts’s performance in the Philadelphia vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 28, 2026, as reported by official game statistics. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of September 28, 2026, to determine if Keenum meets the yardage threshold.
All markets resolve based on Jalen Hurts' passing yard performance in the Philadelphia vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for September 28, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold (ranging from 150 to 350 passing yards). If Hurts meets or exceeds the threshold in that game, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Hurts is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Hurts takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any given play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the total passing yards he records during the game. These provisions ensure clarity in edge cases such as injury substitutions or unusual game circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and team biases into their initial pricing. This market, however, allows traders to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards the ‘true’ odds as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, sometimes diverging from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived likelihood, while lower demand will push the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and insights.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to the passing game could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could contribute to price movements in this market.