TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific participants exceed predetermined fantasy point thresholds based on standardized scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by designated players or team defenses during the full duration of the Philadelphia vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for September 28, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories including passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions. Each market has a unique threshold; if the specified player or defense records above their respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No. Players who do not participate or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections or rounding. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, and each uses the same underlying scoring methodology without variation.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and guarantee profit, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when significant information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived probabilities of various outcomes and the potential for profitable trading opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals for the game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. Traders aim to profit by buying contracts they believe are undervalued and selling them when they become overvalued, based on their own analysis and expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for both the Philadelphia and Chicago teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official fantasy point scoring rules of the relevant fantasy sports platform. Traders will be able to see the final results and whether their contracts settled in their favor. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final scores to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team lineups for either Philadelphia or Chicago would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions that could affect the game’s scoring potential could also shift prices. Furthermore, updates on player performance or strategic changes announced by either team could influence traders’ expectations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.