TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game between Philadelphia and Chicago. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team must score for the market to settle positively.
The event consists of multiple sub-markets, each with a specific numerical threshold for points scored by either Chicago or Philadelphia in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 28, 2026. For any given sub-market, if the designated team scores more points in the first half than the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, offering a range of outcomes based on performance. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based solely on the points scored by the specified team in the first half. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate in their predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of certain outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market is constantly updating its predictions based on the latest available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first half team totals as recorded by the official league statistics. The final score will be verified against credible public sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from key players during the first quarter of the game, or even significant in-game adjustments by the coaches, could also lead to price movements. Furthermore, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed traders taking positions based on non-public information, causing the market to react accordingly.