TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles will clash in a Major League Baseball game on August 2, 2026. The game will extend into extra innings if the teams are tied after the ninth inning.
If Philadelphia and Baltimore go to extra innings in the Philadelphia vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can adjust rapidly to new information. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader factors and public betting patterns, this market lets participants express precise expectations about extra innings, sometimes showing tighter spreads or different implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate view of all participants. The market’s probability is derived from the relative prices of the two possible outcomes, and volume of $2,466 indicates how much trading activity is occurring. This mechanism captures the collective wisdom of Kalshi users as they react to news, weather updates, and team performance.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game lasts longer than nine innings, and the platform will finalize the market based on official score updates and game status reports from trusted sports data providers.
Injuries, weather delays, pitcher performance, and late-game scoring all have the potential to shift this market. If a starting pitcher exits early or rain threatens to suspend play, traders may adjust their positions quickly. Additionally, any last-minute changes to the lineup or game location could influence sentiment and cause noticeable movement in the odds before resolution.