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Philadelphia vs Baltimore: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Philadelphia vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$8,416

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 9:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
$950
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$821
N/A
N/A
$821
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
$815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
$1,088
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
$1,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$869
N/A
N/A
$861
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
$794
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$667
N/A
N/A
$667
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
$658
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$658
N/A
N/A
$658
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.

Kalshi

These markets evaluate how decisively either Philadelphia or Baltimore wins the fourth quarter of their scheduled Pro Football game on August 15, 2026, with all outcomes determined solely by points scored during regulation time of the fourth quarter—overtime points are excluded. Each market specifies a unique point differential threshold that must be surpassed for a 'Yes' resolution: Baltimore must win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, or Philadelphia must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. The thresholds vary in strictness, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of varying degrees of dominance in the final quarter. All markets share the same secondary rule, ensuring consistency in scoring evaluation across the set.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the 4th quarter spread market, along with current trading volume of $8,416 and 24-hour volume of $5,480. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning on the expected point differential specifically in the final quarter, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment leading up to game time.

Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven directly by trader sentiment and real-time betting activity. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader analytics and historical trends, this market captures the nuanced expectations of participants about the fourth quarter specifically, sometimes showing tighter or wider spreads depending on recent performance and momentum shifts.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded in the fourth quarter will determine the result, closing the market once official game data is publicly available and immutable.

Injuries to key players, coaching strategies focused on the fourth quarter, and recent performance trends can all shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, any major changes in team dynamics or playoff implications leading up to the game may cause traders to re-evaluate their positions, impacting both volume and implied probabilities as Aug 16, 2026 approaches.