TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 9:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Philadelphia or Baltimore specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate how decisively either Philadelphia or Baltimore wins the third quarter of their scheduled Pro Football game on August 15, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be surpassed for a 'Yes' resolution. For Baltimore to win the third quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or to win by more than 2.5 points, the market resolves accordingly. Similarly, if Philadelphia wins the third quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, or by more than 2.5 points, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the governing league's official scoring determines resolution.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and sharp betting insights. While sportsbooks may set a static spread, this market can shift rapidly based on in-game momentum, injuries, or other live factors that influence how traders price the quarter’s performance.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely spread result based on available information. The market’s probability structure adjusts dynamically to new data, such as player performance or coaching decisions, offering a trader-driven forecast for that quarter’s outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is calculated based on official game statistics after the third quarter ends, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.