TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 8:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Philadelphia or Baltimore during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets determine whether Philadelphia or Baltimore wins the second quarter of their scheduled Pro Football game by exceeding specific point differentials. All outcomes are evaluated solely based on points scored during the second quarter of play. Each market corresponds to a different threshold—for Baltimore, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, and for Philadelphia, thresholds range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points. If the winning team’s point differential in the second quarter exceeds the specified threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these outcomes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook influenced by sharp traders and real-time data flows. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and historical patterns, this market tends to adjust faster to new information, potentially offering tighter spreads and more accurate short-term expectations.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential from the second quarter will settle the market, closing all positions based on the actual point spread achieved during that period.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting game pace, and strategic adjustments by coaches could all shift this market. Additionally, any significant changes in team performance leading up to the game — such as dominant preseason practices or surprising lineup decisions — may cause traders to re-evaluate the expected spread for that quarter.