TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 5:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Philadelphia and Baltimore. On Kalshi, the current probability that Baltimore will win is 96.0%, with Philadelphia at 4.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the game's result as specified in the contract terms. The decisive moment to watch will be the game itself, scheduled for August 2, 2026, where performance and strategic plays will determine the final result.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Philadelphia vs Baltimore professional baseball game scheduled for August 2, 2026, at 1:35 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are separate for each team, with each resolving to Yes if their respective team wins the game.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect the official game determination, closing all positions based on the confirmed winner. Timing aligns closely with the scheduled game date, ensuring market closure soon after the contest ends.
Key signals include major player injuries, coaching changes, or high-profile performances that shift competitive balance. Public polls, analyst updates, and media narratives can also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 2, 2026 approaches, any last-minute developments — like strategic adjustments or unexpected setbacks — may cause rapid price swings, reflecting updated probabilities for the outcome.