TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets allows forecasting whether the combined score of both teams in the first quarter will exceed various thresholds. Only points scored within the first quarter count toward these outcomes.
The markets determine if the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter exceed specified thresholds. Each threshold represents a different point total, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score surpasses that threshold. Points from other quarters are irrelevant for these markets.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about the likelihood of different point totals being exceeded or fallen short of in the first quarter, updated continuously as new information and bets come in.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the opening quarter will be compared against the market's point thresholds to determine which contracts settle in or out, based on official game results.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant early-game momentum shifts could all impact this market. Weather conditions, referee calls that alter offensive flow, and even pre-game media narratives influencing team focus may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds as new information emerges closer to game time.