TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines the outcome of the first half of a professional MLS soccer match between Philadelphia and Atlanta. It covers whether Philadelphia wins the half, Atlanta wins the half, or the half ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the scoring during the first 45 minutes of play, including any stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the result of the first half of the Philadelphia vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game scheduled for August 1, 2026. If Philadelphia scores more goals than Atlanta in the first half (including stoppage time), the 'Philadelphia wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta scores more goals than Philadelphia, the 'Atlanta wins 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of goals, including zero, the 'Tie 1st Half' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution depends exclusively on the first half's scoring outcome, with no consideration for the full match result.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook shaped by trader sentiment and real-time data. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and historical performance, prediction markets can react more quickly to new information, such as player injuries or weather conditions, offering a different perspective on likely outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price for this market through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate expectations of participants. The market’s probability indicator is derived from the relative prices of the two possible outcomes, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges and trader positions shift in response to evolving pre-game narratives.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game records indicating which team led at halftime, and the platform updates the market accordingly shortly after the conclusion of the first half.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting game conditions, and strategic coaching decisions could all shift this market. Additionally, any significant changes in team performance leading up to the match, as reflected in media analysis or practice reports, may influence trader sentiment and move odds in either direction as the game draws nearer.