TOTAL VOLUME:
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$107,351,958
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves in a Major League Baseball game on September 12, 2026. If the game lasts longer than nine innings due to a tie score after the ninth, it will go into extra innings.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Philadelphia vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an event. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge based on public perception, expert analysis, and the collective wisdom of traders participating in this market. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information surfaces and influences both sets of odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds are constantly updating based on supply and demand, offering a real-time view of expectations for the game’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves game goes into extra innings. Official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Phillies or the Braves would likely cause significant movement. Weather forecasts predicting potential game delays or cancellations could also impact prices. Furthermore, updates on pitching matchups, recent team performance, and even expert analysis from baseball commentators could all shift trader sentiment and lead to changes in the odds. Unexpected late-breaking news related to either team has the potential to move this market considerably.