TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game scheduled between two teams. The focus is on whether the game will extend beyond its regular duration due to unresolved ties. This extension would occur if the game proceeds into additional periods of play beyond the standard timeframe.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Philadelphia vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 2, 2026 at 3:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts, which determines the market odds. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about extra innings occurring. Liquidity levels, represented by volume of $4,153, influence how easily traders can enter or exit positions, and price discovery happens organically through open order books and peer-to-peer trading.
This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game lasts longer than the standard regulation time, and the platform will finalize the market based on official game records after completion.
Key signals include starting lineup announcements, weather forecasts for the game day, and any last-minute injuries to key players. Pitcher performance updates or bullpen changes can also sway expectations for a longer game. If recent matchups between these teams frequently go to extra innings, this market may see increased buying on the 'yes' side. Conversely, if both teams have strong closers and a history of late-inning dominance, the odds could shift toward 'no.' All of these developments will be reflected in real-time trading on Kalshi as the Sep 2, 2026 deadline approaches.