TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 9:54 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC" if Seattle Sounders FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margins, while this market aggregates the collective beliefs of traders risking real capital on the outcome. Prediction markets typically react faster to breaking news—injuries, lineup changes, or weather—since traders update positions instantly. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular player's chances relative to the other.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each player's contract trades as a separate share, and the price of that share—expressed as a percentage between 0 and 100—represents the collective probability assigned by the market. As traders accumulate positions, prices shift to reflect new information, ensuring the odds stay responsive to team news, player form, and match conditions right up until the event concludes.
Team news has the largest impact: injury announcements, lineup rotations, or managerial changes can dramatically shift odds for key strikers. Pre-match weather reports matter too, since rain or wind can favor certain playing styles or defensive setups. Recent form and head-to-head scoring records also drive trader repositioning as the match date nears. Social media sentiment, betting syndicate activity, and late-breaking tactical leaks from beat reporters can trigger sharp price moves in the final hours before kickoff, making this market highly dynamic through the final whistle.