TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of the MLS match between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders FC scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi provides four goal-differential markets (Philadelphia/Seattle wins by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). Both resolve based on the 90-minute regulation result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC match originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is based on the goal differential in the Philadelphia vs Seattle MLS match scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated goal margin. Philadelphia-favorable outcomes resolve to Yes if Philadelphia's goal total exceeds Seattle's by the threshold amount; Seattle-favorable outcomes resolve to Yes if Seattle's goal total exceeds Philadelphia's by the threshold amount. The evaluation period is strictly the regulation 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee; any goals scored in extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded from the calculation.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins; prediction markets reflect live trader consensus, often incorporating real-time information faster. On this market, traders continuously adjust their positions based on team news, lineup changes, and injury reports, which can make prediction prices more responsive than sportsbook odds. However, sportsbook odds benefit from professional risk management and deep liquidity. Comparing the two reveals where public perception diverges from professional oddsmakers—a useful signal for spotting value or consensus shifts before the match.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—typically triggers the largest price swings. Weather conditions, travel disruptions, or venue changes can also influence trader positioning. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings may prompt gradual repricing as traders reassess each side's chances. Late-breaking roster updates or coaching changes often spark sharp moves in the final hours before kickoff. Additionally, if one platform experiences heavier trading volume or new information surfaces, you may see divergence widen between venues. Monitoring social media, team official channels, and sports news outlets helps you stay ahead of market-moving developments.