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406,422

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2,688

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5

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Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC?

Volume:
$1,646,541

Philadelphia Union

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 10:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Philadelphia Union

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$950,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$212,523
N/A
N/A
$106,429
Settled
Yes
predict

Philadelphia Union

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$5,938
$11,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Seattle Sounders FC

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$652
$7,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Seattle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$277,637
N/A
N/A
$204,700
Settled
No
polymarket

Seattle Sounders FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$975
$948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115,761
N/A
N/A
$64,123
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Philadelphia Union will win their Major League Soccer match against Seattle Sounders FC. The aggregated consensus probability for Philadelphia Union to win stands at 100.0%, with a draw as the second outcome at 1.0%, drawing data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and resolutions sourced from the official MLS schedule at mlssoccer.com. Watch for the match result on July 25, 2026, as it will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic diverges between platforms. Polymarket and Predict treat cancellation differently for win markets (resolve No) versus draw markets (resolve Yes), while Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Monitor official MLS communications and platform announcements as the event date approaches. If cancellation occurs, verify each platform's settlement decision in real-time. Traders holding draw positions on Polymarket/Predict may see "Yes" resolution while win positions resolve "No"—plan hedges accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Philadelphia and Seattle win markets resolve "No" if canceled with no make-up game; draw market resolves "Yes" under the same condition. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
  • Predict: Identical logic to Polymarket: win markets resolve "No" on cancellation; draw market resolves "Yes" on cancellation. Key Quote: Same cancellation clauses as Polymarket.
  • Kalshi: All three outcome markets (Philadelphia win, Seattle win, Tie) resolve "Yes" if their condition is met after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation protocol is not explicitly stated. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] is the result of the Philadelphia vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Philadelphia vs Seattle MLS match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: a Philadelphia victory, a Seattle victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Philadelphia Union and Seattle Sounders FC.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing traders to monitor real-time odds on the match outcome. Both platforms host independent markets on the same event, with combined trading volume of $1,646,541 across all linked contracts. The cross-platform view helps you compare how different prediction communities price the same fixture, revealing consensus strength or divergence in expectations. You can track price movements, historical odds, and trader positioning as the event approaches, all in one centralized interface.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve distinct audiences and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a margin for profit. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery—odds reflect what participants actually believe will happen, with no built-in spread. This market often shows tighter consensus than traditional sportsbooks, especially when trader volume is high. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional betting syndicates, so comparing both sources provides a fuller picture of expected outcomes.

Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts by either manager. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day can affect play style and scoring likelihood. Major betting syndicates entering the market with large positions often trigger sharp price moves. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports coverage may sway casual traders. As the match date approaches, late-breaking roster updates or venue changes could create volatility. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets for developments that reshape win probability.