TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:01 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, without an inherent profit margin for a central operator. Therefore, discrepancies can arise based on public perception, expert analysis, and the flow of information into each venue. It's common to see differences, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or disagreement among analysts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The higher the price of a share, the more likely traders believe that outcome will happen. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Philadelphia Union vs. Orlando City SC match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 26, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Philadelphia Union or Orlando City SC would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant news regarding team morale could all move the market. Major tactical announcements from either coach, or even late-breaking news about player availability, could also prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.