TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Orlando City SC" if Orlando City SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Therefore, you may find that the implied probability of either team scoring first on Predict diverges from what’s offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify discrepancies. It's a fascinating comparison of different approaches to forecasting the outcome of this game.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in one team over the other, but this can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The volume traded provides insight into how actively this market is being monitored.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—the Philadelphia Union or Orlando City SC—scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official game records and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to see which side the market correctly predicted, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. This ensures a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Philadelphia Union or Orlando City SC would likely impact the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis from reputable soccer analysts or unexpected lineup announcements could cause traders to adjust their positions. Finally, even general shifts in public sentiment or large-volume trades on Predict could create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.